Since January 2025, a stable government coalition has placed education, healthcare, and tackling inequalities at the core of policy. Major changes followed: increased minimum and maximum social insurance thresholds, reformed welfare programs, and active policies for vulnerable groups. Unemployment is falling, but the shortage of qualified workers is growing.
Key drivers and involved parties
- Government: coordinates budgetary and social reforms
- Employers: adapt to new insurance and labour regulations
- Workers and trade unions: defend interests, negotiate incomes
- Vulnerable groups: receive targeted support
- International institutions: provide financing and expert advice
Scenarios by end of 2025
Realistic scenario
Gradual improvement in social protection, moderate income growth, limited reduction in inequalities.
Optimistic scenario
Swift reforms, strong social progress and reduced regional disparities.
Pessimistic scenario
Demographic decline exacerbates workforce shortages, reforms face delays and inequalities persist.
Conclusion
The new policies enable gradual transformation of the social system and labour market, though success will depend on quality implementation, institutional capacity, and broader economic stability.
Disclaimer: This article is a BurgasMedia editorial review reflecting the position of the expert group based on current events. The presented conclusions are hypothetical and do not constitute forecasts. The editorial board is not responsible for future discrepancies and urges readers to form their own views using verified sources.