In an exclusive interview for the Bulgarian National Radio, political analyst Prof. Ognyan Minchev presents an in-depth view of the current political situation, which is characterized by extremely dynamic and unpredictable processes.
According to the expert, the current political situation represents a second attempt to form an alternative political and economic elite in the country. The first such attempt was related to the development of the SDS during the 90s, which was ultimately failed due to the project to restore the monarchy.
Minchev identifies three leading political entities that currently define the political landscape: Delyan Peevski, Boyko Borissov, and President Rumen Radev. Each of them pursues their own strategic goals and exercises different mechanisms of influence.
Delyan Peevski is defined as the strongest figure who has managed to end Ahmed Dogan's dominance in DPS and created his own political structure. By supporting the government, he practically holds the governing construction hostage.
Boyko Borissov, on the other hand, seeks to maintain the existing political balances that guarantee his political influence. He is characterized by taking a mediating role between different political players.
President Rumen Radev is seen as a third significant figure, whose position is currently relatively weak. Minchev predicts that Radev will most likely support protests against the abuse of justice, similar to his actions in 2020-2021.
The political scientist emphasizes that the competition between these three political entities actually prevents the complete authoritarianization of the political system. The danger of authoritarianism was especially serious in 2019 and continues to exist.
Regarding future development, Minchev predicts that if the existing majority is maintained, there will be no government crisis or early elections. However, he sees potential for political tension if the relationship between Borissov and Peevski deteriorates.
GERB, according to the analysis, will continue to rely on its European identity and will try to reconcile the situation. Borissov is not satisfied with the current political development and will work to maintain the status quo.
An interesting point in the interview is the view that civil protest can serve as a platform for producing new political leaders who can change the existing political map.
Prof. Minchev's conclusion is that the political system in Bulgaria remains extremely dynamic and unpredictable, with numerous internal contradictions and hidden political agreements.