Ukrainian intelligence outlines a realistic scenario for achieving a peaceful agreement in the next two years, with the key to success lying in diplomatic interaction between three leading global players. Kyrylo Budanov, leading the intelligence agency, shared his vision for de-escalating the conflict with international media.
In an expert analysis for Bloomberg on July 11, Budanov categorically stated that cessation of military actions is achievable under certain diplomatic conditions. According to him, negotiations between Ukraine, Russia, and the United States are of exceptional importance for achieving lasting peace.
The current geopolitical situation remains complex. President Putin demonstrated a firm position during a conversation with Donald Trump on July 3, emphasizing that Russia will not abandon its strategic goals. Nevertheless, the American leader Trump showed readiness to support Ukraine, ordering the resumption of military supplies on July 8.
Budanov revealed additional details about military logistics, exposing large-scale cooperation between Russia and North Korea. According to his information, about 40% of ammunition for the Russian army is delivered from Pyongyang, which receives financial and technological compensation.
Diplomatic efforts continue with mixed success. Ukraine has already accepted the American proposal for a 30-day unconditional truce, but Russia still rejects such initiatives. Previous negotiation sessions in Istanbul in May and June 2025 ended with partial success - an agreement to exchange prisoners in a "1000 for 1000" format.
In the context of technological intelligence, Budanov warned Western partners not to rely solely on technical means. "No one will discuss and plan an operation on a mobile phone," he emphasized, stressing the importance of the human factor in intelligence activities.
The prospect for peace remains cautiously optimistic. Success depends on the diplomatic will of the three countries and their readiness for compromises that could end the conflict.