Why are prices in Bulgaria rising? NSI with an alarming forecast for services

26.07.2026 | Statistics and regulation

The services sector is the main driver of inflation in Bulgaria. The NSI reports an increase of up to 30% in restaurants and hotels, with further price shocks expected by the end of the year.

Снимка от Mick D Kirkov, Wikimedia Commons (CC0)

Why are services seeing the most drastic price increases?

According to data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI), the most significant inflationary pressure comes from the services sector. Hotels, restaurants, and accommodation have seen an increase of 20 to 30% over the last two years, driven by increased demand following the pandemic and changes in VAT rates.

"The discrepancy between statistical data and people's perception is due to the fact that the prices of goods change monthly, while incomes grow more slowly," commented Dr. Svilen Kolev.

Where is the strongest growth felt?

Forecast for the second half of the year

Despite a slight decline in food prices in June (seasonal price drops for fruits and vegetables), experts expect new price pressure. The main factors include:

Although annual inflation has slowed to 5.4%, trends indicate that price growth will continue, albeit at a more moderate pace in the coming months.